Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.485079 0.562471 0.647540 0.747888 0.862934 0.990611 1.142961
2025-05-18 0.352245 0.455696 0.581478 0.745221 0.952289 1.204941 1.536100
2025-05-25 0.276832 0.387642 0.532513 0.734853 1.009113 1.366758 1.867214
2025-06-01 0.227527 0.340134 0.496407 0.727595 1.059125 1.515283 2.187991
2025-06-08 0.186810 0.295911 0.455504 0.703828 1.077885 1.617097 2.449194
2025-06-15 0.172183 0.286778 0.462205 0.747283 1.195170 1.866947 2.944312
2025-06-22 0.145592 0.254532 0.428767 0.723952 1.206745 1.958727 3.209547
2025-06-29 0.124439 0.227670 0.399678 0.702623 1.216945 2.046472 3.473467
2025-07-06 0.107808 0.205892 0.375745 0.685987 1.231384 2.140067 3.752787
2025-07-13 0.098889 0.196428 0.371390 0.701732 1.301124 2.329522 4.206807
2025-07-20 0.094048 0.193741 0.378479 0.738099 1.409848 2.593802 4.811333
2025-07-27 0.087748 0.187308 0.377748 0.759642 1.493365 2.820590 5.368858
2025-08-03 0.079975 0.177150 0.369239 0.766452 1.552079 3.011662 5.886211
2025-08-10 0.071966 0.165409 0.356278 0.763199 1.591508 3.171535 6.362250
2025-08-17 0.064264 0.153166 0.340687 0.752571 1.614800 3.302235 6.793622
2025-08-24 0.057823 0.142742 0.327502 0.745146 1.643262 3.444604 7.259156
2025-08-31 0.050806 0.129942 0.307573 0.720833 1.633746 3.510138 7.576444
2025-09-07 0.049745 0.131088 0.318529 0.765285 1.774676 3.892230 8.570371
2025-09-14 0.043985 0.119897 0.300085 0.741419 1.764121 3.959360 8.914764
2025-09-21 0.039043 0.110011 0.283423 0.719600 1.755552 4.029268 9.270075
2025-09-28 0.034951 0.101714 0.269511 0.702582 1.755941 4.118021 9.673012
2025-10-05 0.033077 0.099093 0.269260 0.718689 1.835317 4.387594 10.498070
2025-10-12 0.032392 0.099666 0.277143 0.755891 1.968697 4.789583 11.653956